Dr Plokta (drplokta) wrote,
Dr Plokta
drplokta

Election Predictions

Anyone care to have a guess at the percentage breakdown of the national election result (excluding Northern Ireland constituencies)? No more new entries after 10pm on Thursday evening, which will be exactly a week before the polling stations close and we start to get exit polls. The winner will be the person who has the lowest total difference between their guess and the actual result. The smaller parties (SNP, Plaid Cymru, UKIP, BNP, Respect, etc.) are all bundled together under "Other". I recommend that your choices add up to 100%, but it's not compulsory.

My guess is Conservatives 36%, Labour 29%, Lib Dems 25%, Other 10%. That would be a hung Parliament unless something very odd happens at the constituency level, with the Conservatives having a few more seats than Labour.
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  • Rogue One

    Is it just me, or is the end of Rogue One pretty depressing? The last half hour or so of the film is basically the entire Rogue One team getting…

  • What Next?

    I want your predictions for where we'll be in ten years' time, June 2026, by which time there should have been at least two general elections (unless…

  • Game of Thrones Meets Monty Python

    It now seems clear that the governance of the Iron Islands derives from a mis-reading of Monty Python and the Holy Grail. They got the bit about…